Karnataka trust vote: How the numbers stack up for BJP, Congress-JDS Saturday May 19,2018

BJP has 104 MLAs, the Congress has 78 and the JDS 37 legislators. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), which is in a pre-poll alliance with the JDS, has one MLA.

Together the Congress-JDS-BSP combine has 116 MLAs and it is also claiming the support of two independent lawmakers taking its tally to 118.

The Karnataka Assembly currently has 222 MLAs but the proceedings on Saturday will be conducted by a Pro Tem Speaker and so the effective strength will come down to 221.

 This is because the Speaker is not allowed to vote unless there is a tie. So to win the trust vote, Yeddyurappa will need 111 MLAs.

The majority mark can come down if some of the MLAs abstain. If the BJP's number remains at 104, then 14 MLAs from the opposition camp need to abstain for Yeddyurappa to win the trust vote

• Total elected members: 221
• BJP: 104
• Congress: 78
• JD(S): 36
• BSP: 1
• Others: 2
• Congress + JD(S): 114
• The lone BSP MLA and the two independents are likely to support the Congress + JD(S) combine

Possible scenarios if the BJP has to win the floor test

Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
Seven members of Congress-JD(S) cross vote	Fourteen members have to refrain from taking oath before moving the trust vote	Fourteen members have to abstain from the trust vote process

(Options 2 and 3 will bring down the members present in the House to 207 and the halfway mark will be 104)