Of the four seats where Lok Sabha bypolls were held on May 28,2018 the BJP
held three.
When results were announced on Thursday May 31,2018, the BJP lost two of its 2014 seats.In all, bypolls have been held in 27 Lok Sabha seats since 2014, when Modi wave swept the general elections. The party had won 282 seats then.
Today, the party has a very thin majority in the Lok Sabha -- with 272 MPs (including suspended member Kirti Azad and excluding two nominated Anglo-Indians) in the 539-member House
The BJP had held 13 out of 27 Lok Sabha seats where bypolls have been held. The ruling party lost eight of those seats in four years. The BJP's ally, Peoples Democratic Party also lost a seat, Srinagar, to the National Conference in the bypoll held last year.
On the other hand, the Opposition parties have retained the Lok Sabha seats that they had won in 2014.
The BJP has failed to snatch a single seat from the Opposition camp in the past four years
(see table below).
There is another significant pattern in the bypoll results. The winning margin for the BJP has been consistently declining. In the bypolls held soon after the 2014 Lok Sabha elections -- Vadodara in Gujarat and Beed in Maharashtra, the BJP secured over 70 per cent of the total votes polled.
But as time elapsed, the vote share of the BJP plummeted. Bypolls were held at Shahdol in Madhya Pradesh and Lakhimpur in Uttar Pradesh in 2016. The BJP secured 45.06 per cent and 44.65 per cent votes respectively.
In the recently held bypoll in Palghar, the BJP won the seat with a margin of over 29,000 but receiving only 31.35 per cent vote. Shiv Sena secured 27.95 per cent of total votes polled while Baliram Sukur Jadhav of Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi secured 25.61 per cent votes to finish third. The BJP had got 53.72 per cent vote in 2014.
BJP WINNING SEATS
In the case of Opposition parties, their vote share against the BJP has risen substantially in the eight bypolls that they have won wresting Lok Sabha seats from the ruling party. The Congress has benefitted the most winning four.
The Samajwadi Party won two -- Gorakhpur and Phulpur in Uttar Pradesh while the Nationalist Congress Party (in Maharashtra) and Rashtriya Lok Dal (in Uttar Pradesh) snatched one seat each from the BJP in the bypolls.
BJP LOSING SEATS
When results were announced on Thursday May 31,2018, the BJP lost two of its 2014 seats.In all, bypolls have been held in 27 Lok Sabha seats since 2014, when Modi wave swept the general elections. The party had won 282 seats then.
Today, the party has a very thin majority in the Lok Sabha -- with 272 MPs (including suspended member Kirti Azad and excluding two nominated Anglo-Indians) in the 539-member House
The BJP had held 13 out of 27 Lok Sabha seats where bypolls have been held. The ruling party lost eight of those seats in four years. The BJP's ally, Peoples Democratic Party also lost a seat, Srinagar, to the National Conference in the bypoll held last year.
On the other hand, the Opposition parties have retained the Lok Sabha seats that they had won in 2014.
The BJP has failed to snatch a single seat from the Opposition camp in the past four years
(see table below).
There is another significant pattern in the bypoll results. The winning margin for the BJP has been consistently declining. In the bypolls held soon after the 2014 Lok Sabha elections -- Vadodara in Gujarat and Beed in Maharashtra, the BJP secured over 70 per cent of the total votes polled.
But as time elapsed, the vote share of the BJP plummeted. Bypolls were held at Shahdol in Madhya Pradesh and Lakhimpur in Uttar Pradesh in 2016. The BJP secured 45.06 per cent and 44.65 per cent votes respectively.
In the recently held bypoll in Palghar, the BJP won the seat with a margin of over 29,000 but receiving only 31.35 per cent vote. Shiv Sena secured 27.95 per cent of total votes polled while Baliram Sukur Jadhav of Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi secured 25.61 per cent votes to finish third. The BJP had got 53.72 per cent vote in 2014.
BJP WINNING SEATS
| LOK SABHA SEATS | BJP VOTE PER CENT | RUNNER-UP VOTE PER CENT |
| Vadodara (Gujarat) | 71.93 | INC/ 26.94 |
| Beed (Maharashtra) | 71.05 | INC/ 17.42 |
| Shahdol (MP) | 45.06 | INC/ 39.41 |
| Lakhimpur (Assam) | 44.65 | INC /40.16 |
| Palghar (Maharashtra) | 31.35 | Shiv Sena 27.95 |
In the case of Opposition parties, their vote share against the BJP has risen substantially in the eight bypolls that they have won wresting Lok Sabha seats from the ruling party. The Congress has benefitted the most winning four.
The Samajwadi Party won two -- Gorakhpur and Phulpur in Uttar Pradesh while the Nationalist Congress Party (in Maharashtra) and Rashtriya Lok Dal (in Uttar Pradesh) snatched one seat each from the BJP in the bypolls.
BJP LOSING SEATS
| LOK SABHA SEATS | WINNER VOTE PER CENT | BJP VOTE PER CENT |
| Ratlam (MP) | INC/ 51.36 | 42.86 |
| Gurdaspur (Punjab) | INC/ 58.66 | 35.98 |
| Alwar (Rajasthan) | INC/ 56.96 | 39.53 |
| Ajmer (Rajasthan) | INC/ 50.98 | 43.94 |
| Gorakhpur (UP) | SP/ 49.31 | 46.95 |
| Phulpur (UP) | SP/ 47.12 | 38.95 |
| Bhandara-Gondiya (Maharashtra) | NCP/ 46.94 | 41.83 |
| Kairana (UP) | RLD/ 51.49 | 46.72 |
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