Opinion Polls Show that the BJP likely to form Delhi Govt with a comfortable majority in the Feb 07,2015 Delhi Assembly Election

 

The BJP is likely to form the government by winning a comfortable majority on its own, an opinion poll conducted jointly by the India Today Group and CICERO has projected. 

The BJP could bag anywhere between 34 and 40 seats, as per the projections made by CICERO. The party appears ready to return to power in the national capital after 16 long years. 

But while the BJP might have emerged as the first choice for the majority of Delhiites, Kejriwal still remains the preferred Chief Ministerial face, with 35 % of respondents voting for him. 

The AAP leader wins hands down against his nearest rival, former BJP CM candidate Dr Harsh Vardhan, who emerged as the second most popular choice for the top post with 23 % of the votes

The India Today Group and CICERO Delhi RCS Tracker Poll-2015 (Wave-II), also shows that the BJP is likely to get 40 per cent of the vote share, which is one per cent higher than the Delhi tracker poll wave I (conducted in December 2014) and 6.9 per cent higher than the BJP’s vote share in the December 2013 assembly election result. 

Going by the results of the opinion poll it seems that the Modi phenomenon has hit the right chords in the national capital, just as it did in all the four states where assembly elections were held recently and the BJP managed to form the government, except for Jammu and Kashmir. 

Though the BJP might get anywhere between 34 and 40 seats, the difference in vote share between the party and AAP is only 4 per cent. 

According to the opinion poll, the Arvind Kejriwal-led party is likely to finish second with a 36 per cent vote share. AAP’s vote share in the wave-II opinion poll is the same as in the Delhi tracker poll wave-I. 

AAP’s vote share has increased by 6.5 per cent since the December 2013 assembly election, in which the rookie party’s vote share was 29.5 per cent. The results of the wave-II opinion poll show that AAP is likely to get between 25-31 seats, a far cry from the magical number of 36 required by any party to form the government in Delhi. 

The Indian National Congress(INC) will get marginalised further, winning anything between 3 and 5 seats, according to the opinion poll.