It’s a thumbs-up for the ruling All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam
(AIADMK) in Tamil Nadu, says an opinion poll, which also hints at both
the Congress and BJP making some gains if a general election were to be
held now
The Survey conducted bythe Centre for the Study of Developing Societies(CSDS)for CNN - IBN and The Hindu reveals that the AIADMK government led by Jayalalithaa, is faring
better than the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA)
government at the Centre or the previous Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)
regime on different counts
Nearly two-thirds (65 %) of the 786 respondents are satisfied
with her Govt as against the satisfaction level of 39 % for
the UPA regime
Similarly, comparing the AIADMK Govt with the DMK
regime (2006-2011), the approval rating for the former is 43%
against 26 % for the latter
The survey also endorses the
conventional thumb rule that in the State rural areas, the AIADMK is
stronger than the DMK
The AIADMK’s gain is limited to a 3% point
rise in terms of vote share – from 23 in the 2009 Lok Sabha election to
26 per cent now.
However, it is arch-rival DMK that should be more worried about the
findings. Its vote base has gone down sharply – from 25% in 2009
to 16
The principal national parties — the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata
Party (BJP) — have a reason to smile, as an opinion poll says the
strength of these parties has increased in Tamil Nadu
Going by the poll tracker survey by the Centre for the Study of
Developing Societies (CSDS) for CNN-IBN and The Hindu, the BJP’s vote
share is 10 % and that of the Congress 18 % in the State
The Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK), seeking to present itself
as an alternative to the two main regional parties, now has a 7% vote share, as against 10 % in 2009
Note
- The sample size in Tamil Nadu (786) is proportionately less compared to the State’s electorate
- About 18% of the respondents fall under the category of “undecided voters.”
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