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Sunday, May 19, 2019

Exit Polls - A Review of Exit Polls in 1998/1999/2004/2009 and 2014

There have been many instances when the exit polls have been wide off the mark. At least four exit polls have predicted wrongly, barring those in the 1998 and 2014 general polls.

In the 1999 elections, forced by an early collapse of the government led by BJP’s Atal Bihari Vajpayee, most polls overrated the National Democratic Alliance’s (NDA’s) win. They gave the NDA overwhelming 315-plus seats but it actually won 296.

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